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price declined approximately 10% in Q1 on an underlying basis, and management guided for a low-to-mid-teens price headwind for the full year, meaning sustained volume growth must fully offset an ongoing pricing drag Medicaid access losses already suppressed Zepbound prescription growth by high single digits in Q1, and any further coverage rollbacks could weigh on volume in a channel that had been a meaningful growth contributor Foundayo is a new molecule and a new brand starting from zero consumer awareness, with full-scale DTC TV advertising not planned until Q3, creating execution risk during a critical launch window The TIKR models low-case scenario of 10.4% revenue CAGR yields a stock price of ~$1,884 by December 2034, a 101% total return over 4.7 years but at an 8.4% IRR that assumes meaningful underperformance relative to the current trajectory Should You Invest in Eli Lilly and Company
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